Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000177 0.000198 0.000220 0.000245 0.000274 0.000304 0.000340
2025-07-27 0.000148 0.000177 0.000209 0.000248 0.000294 0.000347 0.000413
2025-08-03 0.000127 0.000160 0.000199 0.000249 0.000311 0.000387 0.000485
2025-08-10 0.000109 0.000144 0.000188 0.000246 0.000323 0.000420 0.000551
2025-08-17 0.000097 0.000134 0.000182 0.000248 0.000339 0.000459 0.000628
2025-08-24 0.000086 0.000123 0.000173 0.000245 0.000348 0.000488 0.000693
2025-08-31 0.000077 0.000114 0.000166 0.000244 0.000358 0.000520 0.000765
2025-09-07 0.000070 0.000107 0.000161 0.000244 0.000370 0.000553 0.000840
2025-09-14 0.000063 0.000100 0.000155 0.000242 0.000378 0.000581 0.000909
2025-09-21 0.000059 0.000096 0.000152 0.000245 0.000394 0.000622 0.001000
2025-09-28 0.000055 0.000091 0.000149 0.000247 0.000407 0.000659 0.001087
2025-10-05 0.000050 0.000086 0.000144 0.000245 0.000414 0.000687 0.001163
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000084 0.000145 0.000251 0.000436 0.000742 0.001288
2025-10-19 0.000044 0.000081 0.000142 0.000253 0.000451 0.000785 0.001397
2025-10-26 0.000041 0.000077 0.000139 0.000254 0.000462 0.000825 0.001502
2025-11-02 0.000038 0.000073 0.000134 0.000251 0.000469 0.000855 0.001594
2025-11-09 0.000036 0.000070 0.000132 0.000253 0.000483 0.000899 0.001715
2025-11-16 0.000033 0.000066 0.000127 0.000250 0.000487 0.000927 0.001805
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000063 0.000124 0.000249 0.000495 0.000961 0.001912
2025-11-30 0.000029 0.000060 0.000122 0.000249 0.000505 0.001001 0.002031
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000058 0.000118 0.000246 0.000511 0.001031 0.002135
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000056 0.000117 0.000250 0.000528 0.001085 0.002289
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000054 0.000116 0.000251 0.000541 0.001132 0.002433